Abstract : The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic has entered an uncertain race between the emergence of variants that are more transmissible and vaccine roll-out. Here, we developed a mathematical model to evaluate how the interplay of variants, vaccines and non-pharmaceutical interventions might shape the pandemic dynamics, using the rise of the B.1.1.7 variant in metropolitan France as a case study. Our analysis highlights the challenges ahead for the management of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic and shows how the quick roll-out of vaccines to at-risk individuals and non-pharmaceutical interventions are needed to mitigate the impact of the emerging variants.
https://hal-pasteur.archives-ouvertes.fr/pasteur-03149525 Contributor : Anne Lassailly-BondazConnect in order to contact the contributor Submitted on : Tuesday, February 23, 2021 - 10:14:05 AM Last modification on : Wednesday, June 8, 2022 - 3:36:02 PM Long-term archiving on: : Monday, May 24, 2021 - 6:21:26 PM
Paolo Bosetti, Cécile Tran Kiem, Alessio Andronico, Juliette Paireau, Daniel Levy Bruhl, et al.. A race between SARS-CoV-2 variants and vaccination: The case of the B.1.1.7 variant in France. 2021. ⟨pasteur-03149525⟩