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Pré-Publication, Document De Travail Année : 2021

A race between SARS-CoV-2 variants and vaccination: The case of the B.1.1.7 variant in France

Résumé

The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic has entered an uncertain race between the emergence of variants that are more transmissible and vaccine roll-out. Here, we developed a mathematical model to evaluate how the interplay of variants, vaccines and non-pharmaceutical interventions might shape the pandemic dynamics, using the rise of the B.1.1.7 variant in metropolitan France as a case study. Our analysis highlights the challenges ahead for the management of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic and shows how the quick roll-out of vaccines to at-risk individuals and non-pharmaceutical interventions are needed to mitigate the impact of the emerging variants.
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Dates et versions

pasteur-03149525 , version 1 (23-02-2021)

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Paternité - Pas d'utilisation commerciale - Pas de modification

Identifiants

  • HAL Id : pasteur-03149525 , version 1

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Paolo Bosetti, Cécile Tran Kiem, Alessio Andronico, Juliette Paireau, Daniel Levy Bruhl, et al.. A race between SARS-CoV-2 variants and vaccination: The case of the B.1.1.7 variant in France. 2021. ⟨pasteur-03149525⟩
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