Skip to Main content Skip to Navigation
Journal articles

Reconstruction and prediction of viral disease epidemics

Abstract : A growing number of infectious pathogens are spreading among geographic regions. Some pathogens that were previously not considered to pose a general threat to human health have emerged at regional and global scales, such as Zika and Ebola Virus Disease. Other pathogens, such as yellow fever virus, were previously thought to be under control but have recently re-emerged, causing new challenges to public health organisations. A wide array of new modelling techniques, aided by increased computing capabilities, novel diagnostic tools, and the increased speed and availability of genomic sequencing allow researchers to identify new pathogens more rapidly, assess the likelihood of geographic spread, and quantify the speed of human-to-human transmission. Despite some initial successes in predicting the spread of acute viral infections, the practicalities and sustainability of such approaches will need to be evaluated in the context of public health responses.
Document type :
Journal articles
Complete list of metadata

https://hal-pasteur.archives-ouvertes.fr/pasteur-03430143
Contributor : Cécile Limouzin Connect in order to contact the contributor
Submitted on : Tuesday, November 16, 2021 - 9:50:03 AM
Last modification on : Wednesday, November 17, 2021 - 4:01:32 AM

File

reconstruction-and-prediction-...
Publication funded by an institution

Licence


Distributed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License

Identifiers

Collections

Citation

M. Kraemer, D. Cummings, S. Funk, R. Reiner Jr., N. Faria, et al.. Reconstruction and prediction of viral disease epidemics. Epidemiology and Infection, Cambridge University Press (CUP), 2019, 147, pp.e34. ⟨10.1017/S0950268818002881⟩. ⟨pasteur-03430143⟩

Share

Metrics

Record views

12

Files downloads

15