6Santa Fe Institute (1399 Hyde Park Road, Santa Fe, NM 87501 - United States)
Abstract : On January 23, 2020, China quarantined Wuhan to contain coronavirus disease (COVID-19). We estimated the probability of transportation of COVID-19 from Wuhan to 369 other cities in China before the quarantine. Expected COVID-19 risk is >50% in 130 (95% CI 89-190) cities and >99% in the 4 largest metropolitan areas.
https://hal-pasteur.archives-ouvertes.fr/pasteur-03325895 Contributor : Cécile LimouzinConnect in order to contact the contributor Submitted on : Wednesday, August 25, 2021 - 1:49:45 PM Last modification on : Thursday, April 7, 2022 - 10:10:46 AM Long-term archiving on: : Friday, November 26, 2021 - 7:52:53 PM
Zhanwei Du, Lin Wang, Simon Cauchemez, Xiaoke Xu, Xianwen Wang, et al.. Risk for Transportation of Coronavirus Disease from Wuhan to Other Cities in China. Emerging Infectious Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2020, 26 (5), pp.1049-1052. ⟨10.3201/eid2605.200146⟩. ⟨pasteur-03325895⟩