Prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in France: results from nationwide serological surveillance
Abstract
Background
Assessment of cumulative incidence of SARS-CoV-2 infections is critical for monitoring the
course and the extent of the epidemic. As asymptomatic or mild cases were typically not
captured by surveillance data in France, we implemented nationwide serological surveillance. We present estimates for prevalence of anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in the French population and the proportion of infected individuals who developed potentially protective neutralizing antibodies throughout the first epidemic wave.
Methods
We performed serial cross-sectional sampling of residual sera over three periods: prior to (9-
15 March), during (6-12 April) and following (11-17 May) a nationwide lockdown. Each sample was tested for anti-SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibodies targeting the Nucleoprotein and Spike using two Luciferase-Linked ImmunoSorbent Assays, and for neutralising antibodies using a pseudo-neutralisation assay. We fitted a general linear mixed model of seropositivity in a Bayesian framework to derive prevalence estimates stratified by age, sex and region.
Findings
In total, sera from 11 021 individuals were analysed. Nationwide seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies was estimated at 0.41% [0.05−0.88] mid-March, 4.14% [3.31−4.99] mid-April and 4.93% [4.02−5.89] mid-May. Approximately 70% of seropositive individuals had detectable neutralising antibodies. Seroprevalence was higher in regions where circulation occurred earlier and was more intense. Seroprevalence was lowest in children under 10 years of age (2.72% [1.10−4.87]).
Interpretation
Seroprevalence estimates confirm that the nationwide lockdown substantially curbed
transmission and that the vast majority of the French population remains susceptible to
SARS-CoV-2. Low seroprevalence in school age children suggests limited susceptibility
and/or transmissibility in this age group. Our results show a clear picture of the progression
of the first epidemic wave and provide a framework to inform the ongoing public health
response as viral transmission is picking up again in France and globally.
Origin : Publication funded by an institution