Estimating Frequency of Probable Autochthonous Cases of Dengue, Japan

Akiyoshi Senda (1) , Anavaj Sakuntabhai (2, 3) , Shinako Inaida (1) , Yoann Teissier (4) , Fumihiko Matsuda (1, 2) , Richard Paul (2, 3)

1 Kyoto University
2 Pasteur Kyoto International Joint Research Unit for Integrative Vaccinomics [Kyoto, Japan]
3 Génétique fonctionnelle des Maladies infectieuses - Functional Genetics of Infectious Diseases
4 ILM - Institut Louis Malardé [Papeete]

Imported dengue into naive areas is a recognized but un-quantified threat. Differentiating imported and autochtho-nous cases remains problematic. A threshold approach applied to Japan identified several aberrant incidences of dengue. Despite these alerts, no epidemics occurred other than 1 in Yoyogi Park in Tokyo, which was probably an unusual event.

Keywords: Japan; autochthonous; dengue; epidemic; outbreak threshold; surveillance; vector-borne infections; viruses

Domains: Bioinformatics [q-bio.QM]; Quantitative Methods [q-bio.QM]; Human genetics; Populations and Evolution [q-bio.PE]; Virology; Parasitology; Santé publique et épidémiologie

Akiyoshi Senda, Anavaj Sakuntabhai, Shinako Inaida, Yoann Teissier, Fumihiko Matsuda, et al.. Estimating Frequency of Probable Autochthonous Cases of Dengue, Japan. Emerging Infectious Diseases, 2018, 24 (9), pp.1705-1708. ⟨10.3201/eid2409.170408⟩. ⟨pasteur-02003844⟩