S. Abel, S. Pierre-françois, and M. Pircher, André Cabié

. Service-de-gynécologie-obstétrique,

, la Recherche Médicale Centre d'Investigation Clinique 1424

, Unité Mixte de Recherche 1137, Infection Antimicrobials Modelling Evolution

B. Département-d'épidémiologie and . Et-recherche-clinique,

V. Laboratoire-de,

, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement 190, Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale 1207, École des Hautes Études en Santé Publique, Instituts Hospitalo-Universitaires Méditerranée Infection

A. C. and S. C. , This work was supported by the European Union's Horizon 2020 Programme through ZIKAlliance (grant 734548), the Investissements d'Avenir program, the Laboratoire d'Excellence Integrative Biology of Emerging Infectious Diseases program (grant ANR-10-LABX-62-IBEID), the Models of Infectious Disease Agent Study of the National Institute of General Medical Sciences, the AXA Research Fund, and the INCEPTION project (grant PIA/ANR-16-CONV-0005). The Cohort of Patients Infected by an Arbovirus (CARBO) was fund by the French Ministry of Health (Soutien Exceptionnel a?la Recherche et a?l'Innovation), and the protocol was prepared with the help of the Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale Research and Action Targeting Emerging Infectious Disease (REACTing) network, 2017.

G. Benelli and D. Romano, Mosquito vectors of Zika virus, Entomol Gen, vol.36, issue.4, pp.309-318, 2017.

G. W. Dick, S. F. Kitchen, and A. J. Haddow, Isolations and serological specificity, Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg, vol.46, issue.5, pp.509-520, 1952.

E. B. Hayes, Zika virus outside Africa, Emerg Infect Dis, vol.15, issue.9, pp.1347-1350, 2009.

M. R. Duffy, T. H. Chen, and W. T. Hancock, Zika virus outbreak on Yap Island, Federated States of Micronesia, N Engl J Med, vol.360, issue.24, pp.2536-2543, 2009.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/pasteur-00734543

A. S. Fauci and D. M. Morens, Zika virus in the Americas-yet another arbovirus threat, N Engl J Med, vol.374, issue.7, pp.601-604, 2016.

G. S. Campos, A. C. Bandeira, and S. I. Sardi, Zika virus outbreak, Emerg Infect Dis, vol.21, issue.10, pp.1885-1886, 2015.

S. Cauchemez, M. Besnard, and P. Bompard, Association between Zika virus and microcephaly in French Polynesia, 2013-15: a retrospective study, Lancet, vol.387, pp.2125-2132, 2016.

G. V. França, L. Schuler-faccini, and W. K. Oliveira, Congenital Zika virus syndrome in Brazil: a case series of the first 1501 livebirths with complete investigation, Lancet, vol.388, pp.891-897, 2016.

L. Schuler-faccini, E. M. Ribeiro, and I. M. Feitosa, Possible association between Zika virus infection and microcephalyBrazil, MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep, vol.65, issue.3, pp.59-62, 2015.

P. Brasil, J. P. Pereira, and M. E. Moreira, Zika virus infection in pregnant women in Rio de Janeiro, N Engl J Med, vol.375, issue.24, pp.2321-2334, 2016.

B. Hoen, B. Schaub, and A. L. Funk, Pregnancy outcomes after ZIKV infection in French territories in the Americas, N Engl J Med, vol.378, issue.11, pp.985-994, 2018.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01744446

V. M. Cao-lormeau, A. Blake, and S. Mons, Guillain-Barré syndrome outbreak associated with Zika virus infection in French Polynesia: a case-control study, Lancet, vol.387, pp.1531-1539, 2016.

, World Health Organization. Zika virus fact sheet, 2017.

, Situation épidémiologique du virus Zika aux Antilles, 2016.

B. Rozé, F. Najioullah, and J. L. Fergé, Guillain-Barré syndrome associated with Zika virus infection in Martinique in 2016: a prospective study, Clin Infect Dis, vol.65, issue.9, pp.1462-1468, 2017.

, Haut Conseil de la Santé Publique. Personnes atteintes par le virus Zika. Actualisation des modalités de prise en charge

F. Paris, Haut Conseil de la Santé Publique, 2016.

P. Gallian, A. Cabié, and P. Richard, Zika virus in asymptomatic blood donors in Martinique, Blood, vol.129, issue.2, pp.263-266, 2017.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/inserm-01415646

I. M. Longini and J. S. Koopman, Household and community transmission parameters from final distributions of infections in households, Biometrics, vol.38, issue.1, pp.115-126, 1982.

D. Ludwig, Final size distribution for epidemics, Math Biosci, vol.23, issue.1-2, pp.33-46, 1975.

S. Cauchemez, F. Carrat, and C. Viboud, A Bayesian MCMC approach to study transmission of influenza: application to household longitudinal data, Stat Med, vol.23, issue.22, pp.3469-3487, 2004.

C. Fraser, D. A. Cummings, and D. Klinkenberg, Influenza transmission in households during the 1918 pandemic, Am J Epidemiol, vol.174, issue.5, pp.505-514, 2011.

G. Kuan, S. Ramirez, and L. Gresh, Seroprevalence of antichikungunya virus antibodies in children and adults in Managua, Nicaragua, after the first chikungunya epidemic, PLoS Negl Trop Dis, vol.10, issue.6, p.4773, 2014.

, Institut National de la Statistique et des Études Économiques. MEN1-Ménages par taille du ménage et catégorie socioprofessionnelle de la personne de référence en, 2013.

W. R. Gilks, S. Richardson, and D. Spiegelhalter, Markov Chain Monte Carlo in Practice, p.522, 1995.

D. J. Spiegelhalter, N. G. Best, and B. P. Carlin, Bayesian measures of model complexity and fit, J R Stat Soc Series B Stat Methodol, vol.64, issue.4, pp.583-639, 2002.

K. P. Burnham and D. R. Anderson, Model Selection and Inference: A Practical Information-Theoretic Approach, p.373, 2013.

I. M. Longini, J. S. Koopman, and A. S. Monto, Estimating household and community transmission parameters for influenza, Am J Epidemiol, vol.115, issue.5, pp.736-751, 1982.

P. A. Gastañaduy, J. Budd, and N. Fisher, A measles outbreak in an underimmunized Amish community in Ohio, N Engl J Med, vol.375, issue.14, pp.1343-1354, 2016.

J. R. Glynn, H. Bower, and S. Johnson, Variability in intrahousehold transmission of Ebola virus, and estimation of the household secondary attack rate, J Infect Dis, vol.217, issue.2, pp.232-237, 2018.

C. Drosten, B. Meyer, and M. A. Müller, Transmission of MERS-coronavirus in household contacts, N Engl J Med, vol.371, issue.9, pp.828-835, 2014.

S. Cauchemez, N. M. Ferguson, and A. Fox, Determinants of influenza transmission in South East Asia: insights from a household cohort study in Vietnam, PLoS Pathog, vol.10, issue.8, p.1004310, 2014.

S. Cauchemez, C. A. Donnelly, and C. Reed, Household transmission of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) virus in the United States, N Engl J Med, vol.361, issue.27, pp.2619-2627, 2009.

H. Salje, J. Lessler, and K. K. Paul, How social structures, space, and behaviors shape the spread of infectious diseases using chikungunya as a case study, Proc Natl Acad Sci, vol.113, issue.47, pp.13420-13425, 2016.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/pasteur-01399365

M. S. Lau, B. J. Cowling, and A. R. Cook, Inferring influenza dynamics and control in households, Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A, vol.112, issue.29, pp.9094-9099, 2015.

G. M. Vazquez-prokopec, B. L. Montgomery, and P. Horne, Combining contact tracing with targeted indoor residual spraying significantly reduces dengue transmission, Sci Adv, vol.3, issue.2, p.1602024, 2017.

C. Flamand, C. Fritzell, and S. Matheus, The proportion of asymptomatic infections and spectrum of disease among pregnant women infected by Zika virus: systematic monitoring in French Guiana, Euro Surveill, vol.22, issue.44, 2016.

M. J. Lozier, R. M. Burke, and J. Lopez, Differences in prevalence of symptomatic Zika virus infection by age and sex-Puerto Rico, J Infect Dis, vol.217, issue.11, pp.1678-1689, 2016.

M. Aubry, A. Teissier, and M. Huart, Zika virus seroprevalence, Emerg Infect Dis, vol.23, issue.4, pp.669-672, 2014.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01521256

L. Subissi, E. Daudens-vaysse, and S. Cassadou, Revising rates of asymptomatic Zika virus infection based on sentinel surveillance data from French overseas territories, Int J Infect Dis, vol.65, pp.116-118, 2017.